The events of the story would remain the same up to the battle to retake Wall Maria in Shiganshina, when Captain Levi chooses whether to give the Titan syringe to Commander Erwin or Armin Arlert. In the main story, Levi gives the syringe to Armin, causing him to inherit the Colossal Titan and eventually save the world, and Erwin dies. However, in this timeline, Erwin is given the syringe, and inherits the Colossal Titan.
The whole group would be devastated, with Eren the most upset. They would still go to find the basement, but Erwin was with the group. Events would continue the same, with everyone finding out that there is a world outside the walls, and Erwin is happy to know his father was right all along, and sheds a tear. Eren continues to see memories of his past, with Erwin taking the place of Armin and further understanding Grisha's motives and the rules of the Titans. The ceremony also continues the same, with a depressed Eren seeing his future memories. However, after losing Armin, Eren is more determined to ensure that none of his friends die.
1 year later, the Marleyan survey fleet arrives. This time, however, Erwin takes the place of Hange, and is more stern towards Yelena when they are talking in the tent. Of course, Erwin is highly suspicious of the Volunteers, but understands that if the island is to survive against the rest of the world, they need to carry out Zeke's plan of using a mini Rumbling.
During this time, everyone else was pleading with Erwin to try to make peace before using the mini Rumbling. After time, Erwin understood that it would be best to try to make peace with the enemy before using it, but knew that if peace became impossible, they would continue the plan. Also during this time, Eren would to tell Floch about his true plan, knowing that Erwin would never allow the entire world to be destroyed. Events would continue the same, with the group going to Marley in hopes of brokering peace.
After the 4 year time skip, Eren attacks Marley, and Erwin uses the Colossal Titan to nuke the harbor. Essentially, Erwin would replace Hange's role in the rest of the series, with Hange just sticking by Erwin. Events continue to follow the same route, up to the point of the final confrontation between Eren. Erwin is captured by the Pig Titan, and confronts Zeke in the Titan Realm. However, instead of telling Zeke the meaning of life like Armin did, Erwin instead tells Zeke of the sacrifices and gambles he's made over the years. He talks about the fellow comrades he's lost, and how their sacrifices got them this far. He thinks about his father's dream, and how he finally got to prove him right and see the basement.
Finally, he tells Zeke that those people died because they believed in the cause, and that they entrusted the rest of the work to their comrades. This causes Zeke to think back to Tom, who died entrusting their euthanization plan to Zeke. He stands up, with Tom and Grisha appearing to him. He thanks Tom for trusting in him, and that while he won't be able to carry out their euthanization plan, he can still save the world, and asks for his and Grisha's help. Erwin looks to Bertolt, and tells him that he's sorry for taking his life, but asks for his help in defeating Eren. Marcel, Porco, and Ymir were also listening to Erwin's speech, and all decided to help. Events then continue the same, with Erwin being freed, the others helping the Alliance to stop the past Titans, and Erwin using the Colossal to blow up Eren.
The final battle stays the same, with Erwin fighting a Colossal Eren, Mikasa decapitating Eren, resulting in him dying. Like the rest of his friends, Erwin also has a moment with Eren. Erwin understands what Eren has to do, and apologizes for putting Eren in that position, along with being chosen instead of his friend. Erwin ends by saying that it looks like Eren finally made a gamble of his own, and he hopes it will pay off. Later, after 3 years, the Alliance are heading back to Paradis in hope of making peace with them and the rest of the world. The group asks Erwin if he thinks they can make peace, with Erwin saying it will just have to be another gamble.
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